{"id":34657,"date":"2022-12-27T09:17:09","date_gmt":"2022-12-27T09:17:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/?p=34657"},"modified":"2022-12-27T09:17:09","modified_gmt":"2022-12-27T09:17:09","slug":"ermal-xhelilaj-skenari-rus-i-ballkanit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/2022\/12\/27\/ermal-xhelilaj-skenari-rus-i-ballkanit\/","title":{"rendered":"Ermal Xhelilaj\/ Skenari &#8220;Rus&#8221; i Ballkanit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Situata e siguris\u00eb dhe paqes s\u00eb brisht\u00eb n\u00eb rajonin e Ballkanit po p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzohet n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikshme dit\u00ebt e fundit.<br \/>\nGjendja alarmante e siguris\u00eb n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn veriore t\u00eb Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs, par\u00eb n\u00eb kontekstin e v\u00ebnies n\u00eb gatishm\u00ebri t\u00eb plot\u00eb t\u00eb forcave ushtarake serbe dhe instalimin e teknik\u00ebs s\u00eb saj ushtarake fare pran\u00eb kufirit me Kosov\u00ebn, po rikthen makthin e konfliktit t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjaksh\u00ebm t\u00eb viteve 90 n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb.<br \/>\nNisur nga aleanca e fort\u00eb gjeopolitike e historike ruso-serbe, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht \u00ebsht\u00eb shqet\u00ebsues ideja e nj\u00eb strategjie t\u00eb ngjashme politiko-ushtarake kosovare me provokimet ushtarake e m\u00eb tej me pushtimin brutal t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs nga Rusia. <\/p>\n<p>Nga kjo situat\u00eb e rrezikshme q\u00eb prish balanc\u00ebn imagjinare t\u00eb status quo-s dhe paqes e siguris\u00eb s\u00eb brisht\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb rajoni t\u00eb ngarkuar me pretendime territoriale nd\u00ebrshtet\u00ebrore, histori konfliktesh ushtarake, regjimesh hibride shtetesh dhe nacionalizmash ekstrem, mund t\u00eb pritet \u00e7do lloj skenari q\u00eb i bie m\u00eb shum\u00eb p\u00ebr shtat interesave serbe dhe taktikave destabilizuese t\u00eb politikave ruse p\u00ebr Ballkanin. Rusia n\u00ebn drit\u00ebn e zhvillimeve t\u00eb konfliktit n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb tep\u00ebr e interesuar p\u00ebr t\u00eb hapur nj\u00eb front t\u00eb dyt\u00eb konflikti n\u00eb Ballkan me an\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb Serbie q\u00eb duket se ende mban gjall\u00eb nacionalizmin, konfliktualitetin dhe agresivitetin mesjetar t\u00eb hegjemonis\u00eb serbe n\u00eb rajon. <\/p>\n<p>Nj\u00eb konflikt i dyt\u00eb ushtarak do t\u00eb ndihmonte planet ruse jo vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u00eb t\u00ebrhequr v\u00ebmendjen nga brutaliteti i pushtimit dhe lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, por rrjedhimisht mund t\u00eb sjell reduktimin e ndihm\u00ebs financiare e ushtarake q\u00eb BE e SHBA i ofrojn\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs dhe ndoshta do t\u00eb promovonte nj\u00eb fryme p\u00ebr\u00e7ar\u00ebse mes an\u00ebtar\u00ebve t\u00eb NATO-s, si\u00e7 aktualisht po evidentohet me rastin e Hungaris\u00eb dhe paqart\u00ebsis\u00eb dhe ngurrimit t\u00eb Franc\u00ebs n\u00eb raport me Ukrain\u00ebn.<br \/>\nNga ana tjet\u00ebr, Serbia pavar\u00ebsisht se nuk mund t\u00eb dal\u00eb fitues n\u00eb kontekstin territorial p\u00ebrball\u00eb nj\u00eb NATO t\u00eb instaluar ushtarakisht n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb, s\u00ebrish po ia del qe jo vet\u00ebm t\u00eb dobesoj ekzistenc\u00ebn e shtetit t\u00eb ri vulnerab\u00ebl t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs, por edhe t\u00eb ndertoj mjesht\u00ebrisht kauz\u00ebn e nj\u00eb entiteti shtetformues etnik n\u00eb miniatur\u00eb t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs Veriore. <\/p>\n<p>Pasiguria e paqart\u00ebsia politike e BE-s\u00eb, mungesa e nj\u00eb strategjie t\u00eb qart\u00eb politike dhe q\u00ebndrimi kontrovers e jo totalisht n\u00eb unison i diplomacis\u00eb nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, bashk\u00eb me pasivitetin diplomatik dhe &#8220;simpatin\u00eb q\u00eb shteti shqiptar i ofron Vu\u00e7i\u00e7it dhe politikave te tij agresive, mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb me pasoja serioze p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb, sigurin\u00eb dhe paqen rajonale. Lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb evidentoi edhe nj\u00ebher\u00eb q\u00eb shtete militare e autoritare si Rusia, nuk e kan\u00eb problem t\u00eb rikthejn\u00eb n\u00eb jet\u00eb konfliktet, vrasjet, genocidin dhe masakrat e p\u00ebrgjakshme t\u00eb popullise civile si dhe shkat\u00ebrrimin e infrastruktur\u00ebs vitale n\u00eb zem\u00ebr t\u00eb Europ\u00ebs. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, nje konflikt i mundsh\u00ebm nuklear, pavar\u00ebsisht se p\u00ebr momentin duket i pakonceptuesh\u00ebm, i promovuar nga retorikat shterp\u00eb t\u00eb shteteve me nacionaliz\u00ebm ekstrem, rend social i disbalancuar, t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequra nga regjime totalitare si Rusia, nuk mund t\u00eb mos merren n\u00eb konsiderat\u00eb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Situata e siguris\u00eb dhe paqes s\u00eb brisht\u00eb n\u00eb rajonin e Ballkanit po p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzohet n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikshme dit\u00ebt e fundit. Gjendja alarmante e siguris\u00eb n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn veriore t\u00eb Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs, par\u00eb n\u00eb kontekstin e v\u00ebnies n\u00eb gatishm\u00ebri t\u00eb plot\u00eb t\u00eb forcave ushtarake serbe dhe instalimin e teknik\u00ebs s\u00eb saj ushtarake fare pran\u00eb kufirit me [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":34658,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-34657","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-rajoni"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34657","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34657"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34657\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":34659,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34657\/revisions\/34659"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34658"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34657"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34657"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}