{"id":18572,"date":"2022-09-12T08:07:15","date_gmt":"2022-09-12T08:07:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/?p=18572"},"modified":"2022-09-12T08:07:15","modified_gmt":"2022-09-12T08:07:15","slug":"gjermani-parashikime-te-zymta-per-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/2022\/09\/12\/gjermani-parashikime-te-zymta-per-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Gjermani: Parashikime t\u00eb zymta p\u00ebr 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Studiuesit parashikojn\u00eb p\u00ebr 2023 tkurrje t\u00eb PBB dhe deri n\u00eb 9,7 p\u00ebrqind inflacion.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00eb 1 tetor, n\u00eb Gjermani do t\u00eb rritet paga minimale n\u00eb 12 euro\/ora. Ekspert\u00ebt thon\u00eb se kjo do ta rris\u00eb edhe m\u00eb tej inflacionin. Sipas Instituti i\u00a0Hulumtimeve Ekonomike n\u00eb Mynih (ifo),\u00a0rritja e s\u00ebrishme e pag\u00ebs minimale n\u00eb Gjermani m\u00eb 1 tetor me gjas\u00eb do t\u00eb &#8220;rris\u00eb m\u00eb tej inflacionin&#8221;. Pothuajse nj\u00eb e treta e 6.900 kompanive t\u00eb anketuara nga ifo\u00a0kan\u00eb deklaruar se nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb stafit t\u00eb tyre e paguajn\u00eb me\u00a012 euro n\u00eb or\u00eb. 58 p\u00ebrqind e k\u00ebtyre kompanive &#8220;po planifikojn\u00eb t\u00eb rrisin \u00e7mimet si p\u00ebrgjigje ndaj rritjes s\u00eb pagave&#8221;, b\u00ebri t\u00eb ditur t\u00eb premten, 9. 9. 2022, Instituti.\u00a0 Paga minimale n\u00eb Gjermani u rrit n\u00eb korrik nga 9,82 n\u00eb 10,45 euro n\u00eb or\u00eb dhe do t\u00eb rritet me ligj n\u00eb 12 euro m\u00eb 1 tetor. Nga kjo do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitojn\u00eb mbi gjasht\u00eb milion\u00eb t\u00eb pun\u00ebsuar.<\/p>\n<p>Gjysma e kompanive t\u00eb prekura presin m\u00eb pak fitim, nj\u00eb e kat\u00ebrta llogarit me r\u00ebnie t\u00eb k\u00ebrkes\u00ebs p\u00ebr produktet e tyre. P\u00ebr t\u00eb kompensuar k\u00ebt\u00eb,\u00a018 p\u00ebrqind po mendojn\u00eb t\u00eb ulin orarin e pun\u00ebs s\u00eb punonj\u00ebsve ose t\u00eb ulin pagesat shtes\u00eb.\u00a0Vet\u00ebm 13 p\u00ebrqind e kompanive t\u00eb prekura planifikojn\u00eb t\u00eb shkurtojn\u00eb vende pune, tha eksperti i ifo-s, Sebastian Link.<\/p>\n<p>Dallime nd\u00ebrmjet\u00a0deg\u00ebve t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb<\/p>\n<p>Sipas ifo-s, ka dallime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb var\u00ebsi t\u00eb rajonit dhe industris\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb\u00a0Gjermanin\u00eb Per\u00ebndimore jan\u00eb\u00a029 p\u00ebrqind e kompanive t\u00eb anketuara q\u00eb i paguajn\u00eb pun\u00ebtor\u00ebt e tyre me m\u00eb pak se 12 euro n\u00eb or\u00eb, n\u00eb Gjermanin\u00eb Lindore jan\u00eb 40 p\u00ebrqind. Mesatarisht n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Gjermanin\u00eb jan\u00eb 6 p\u00ebrqind e t\u00eb pun\u00ebsuarve q\u00eb paguhen me m\u00eb pak se 12 euro \/ ora.<\/p>\n<p>Kompanit\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb prekura jan\u00eb n\u00eb hotelieri (78 p\u00ebrqind)\u00a0n\u00eb sektorin e pun\u00ebsimit t\u00eb p\u00ebrkohsh\u00ebm\u00a0(64 p\u00ebrqind),\u00a0n\u00eb deg\u00ebn e tregtis\u00eb me pakic\u00eb (58 p\u00ebrqind)\u00a0n\u00eb industrin\u00eb e tekstilit (72 p\u00ebrqind) dhe n\u00eb industrin\u00eb e l\u00ebnd\u00ebve ushqimore dhe pijeve (61\u00a0p\u00ebrqind). N\u00eb industrit\u00eb e metalit dhe kimike, paga minimale\u00a0nuk luan rol.\u00a0Industria e nd\u00ebrtimit paguan nj\u00eb pag\u00eb minimale prej 12,85 euro n\u00eb or\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Shteti nuk mund ta kompensoj\u00eb inflacionin<\/p>\n<p>Ministria gjermane e Financave (BMF) ngre dyshime p\u00ebr dobin\u00eb dhe efektivitetin e tre paketave t\u00eb shp\u00ebtimit q\u00eb qeveria federale ka nisur p\u00ebr t\u00eb luftuar \u00e7mimet e larta t\u00eb energjis\u00eb. &#8220;Kompensimi i plot\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhurat reale t\u00eb reduktuara nga shteti nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb as i p\u00ebrballuesh\u00ebm dhe as nuk ka kuptim nga pik\u00ebpamja ekonomike,&#8221; thot\u00eb nj\u00eb dokument i BMF n\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitje p\u00ebr takimin e ministrave t\u00eb financave nga eurozona dhe BE, i cili po zhvillohet k\u00ebt\u00eb fundjav\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Nga k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrimi i Gjermanis\u00eb, deri m\u00eb tani, qeveria federale i ka p\u00ebrmbushur vet\u00ebm pjes\u00ebrisht synimet q\u00eb i ka v\u00ebn\u00eb vetes me tre paketat leht\u00ebsuese, t\u00eb cilat n\u00eb total kapin shifr\u00ebn prej afro nj\u00ebqind miliard\u00eb euro. Paketat p\u00ebrmbajn\u00eb shum\u00eb masa, si\u00a0 ndihma financiare p\u00ebr personat n\u00eb nevoj\u00eb, kompensimin e\u00a0rritjes s\u00eb \u00e7mimit t\u00eb energjis\u00eb me nj\u00eb shtes\u00eb rroge prej 300 euro bruto n\u00eb muajin shtator p\u00ebr \u00e7do pun\u00ebmarr\u00ebs, dhe shtes\u00eb prej 100 euro p\u00ebr \u00e7do f\u00ebmij\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Pakot leht\u00ebsuese rrisin \u00e7mimet<\/p>\n<p>Dokumenti n\u00eb fjal\u00eb\u00a0 gjithashtu paralajm\u00ebron shprehimisht se masat leht\u00ebsuese mund t&#8217;i rrisin m\u00eb tej \u00e7mimet. &#8220;Kujdes i ve\u00e7ant\u00eb duhet treguar p\u00ebr t\u00eb mos rritur m\u00eb tej presionin inflacionist n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet politikave fiskale\u201d, shkruajn\u00eb ekspert\u00ebt e Ministris\u00eb federale t\u00eb financave.<\/p>\n<p>Ekspert\u00ebt\u00a0gjithashtu kan\u00eb shprehur shqet\u00ebsim se pakot leht\u00ebsuese t\u00eb financuara nga borxhi mund t\u00eb r\u00ebndojn\u00eb mbi buxhetet e vendeve an\u00ebtare t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb. &#8220;Financat publike t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme mbeten thelb\u00ebsore, sidomos n\u00eb rrethanat e rritjes s\u00eb normave t\u00eb interesit,&#8221; shkruajn\u00eb ata. Situata ekonomike n\u00eb eurozon\u00eb &#8220;karakterizohet nga nj\u00eb shkall\u00eb e lart\u00eb pasigurie&#8221;. Ekziston mbi t\u00eb gjitha rreziku i nj\u00eb inflacioni edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb eurozon\u00eb,\u00a0por edhe i nj\u00eb dob\u00ebsimi t\u00eb m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm t\u00eb koniunktur\u00ebs ekonomike.<\/p>\n<p>Inflacion rekord 2023K\u00ebto shqet\u00ebsime i kishin shprehur m\u00eb par\u00eb edhe dy institute t\u00eb tjera. Instituti p\u00ebr Hulumtime Ekonomike me qend\u00ebr n\u00eb Kiel, IfW, n\u00eb nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb t\u00eb botuar t\u00eb enjten, 8.09.2022, ka parashikuar\u00a0p\u00ebr vitin e ardhsh\u00ebm nj\u00eb inflacion prej\u00a08,7 p\u00ebr qind.\u00a0Aktualisht inflacioni n\u00eb Gjermani \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb nivel rekord prej 8 p\u00ebr qind. Nd\u00ebrsa instituti p\u00ebr Hulumtime Ekonomike n\u00eb Halle (IWH), n\u00eb parashikimin e vjesht\u00ebs, t\u00eb botuar po t\u00eb enjten,\u00a0llogarit me nj\u00eb inflacion prej 9,5 p\u00ebr qind.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00eb dy institutet llogarisin me nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb fort\u00eb Prodhimit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto (PBB). &#8220;Ekonomia gjermane po merr tat\u00ebpjet\u00ebn, thuhet n\u00eb raportin e IfW.\u00a0Rritja e \u00e7mimit t\u00eb gazit dhe rrym\u00ebs elektrike do ta ulin duksh\u00ebm fuqin\u00eb bler\u00ebse. Sipas IFW-s\u00eb Gjermania do t\u00eb ket\u00eb n\u00eb 2023 nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb PBB prej\u00a00,7 p\u00ebr qind, nd\u00ebrsa IWH llogarit me nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb me 1,4 p\u00ebrqind.<\/p>\n<p>Dob\u00ebsimi i koniunktur\u00ebs n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn ka si efekt jo vet\u00ebm r\u00ebnien e eksporteve, por edhe r\u00ebnien e investimeve.\u00a0&#8220;Si rezultat, ekonomia gjermane s\u00ebrish do t\u00eb bjer\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb recesion, pik\u00ebrisht n\u00eb nj\u00eb koh\u00eb, kur sapo kishte filluar t\u00eb merrte veten nga goditjet e pandemis\u00eb\u201d, &#8211; shkruan IfW nga Kieli.<\/p>\n<p>Rritja e papun\u00ebsis\u00eb\u00a0jo shum\u00eb e lart\u00eb<\/p>\n<p>Mes t\u00eb gjitha k\u00ebto parashikime t\u00eb zymta, ka nj\u00eb fije shprese: Nuk do t\u00eb ket\u00eb rritje t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb papun\u00ebsis\u00eb. Shkak p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb mungesa e fuqis\u00eb pun\u00ebtore t\u00eb kualifikuar. Ekonomist\u00ebt e IfW parashikojn\u00eb nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb papun\u00ebsis\u00eb nga 5,3 p\u00ebrqind (sot) n\u00eb 5,6 p\u00ebr qind.<\/p>\n<p>Dhe as t\u00eb ardhurat publike nuk do t\u00eb zvog\u00eblohen: Sipas ekspert\u00ebve, megjith\u00ebse shteti jep shum\u00eb para p\u00ebr t\u00eb leht\u00ebsuar barr\u00ebn e rritjes s\u00eb \u00e7mimit t\u00eb energjis\u00eb, t\u00eb ardhurat e shtetit nga taksat dhe tatimet pritet t\u00eb mos bien, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb larta. Madje niveli i borxhit bruto n\u00eb relacion me Prodhimin e Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto (PBB) pritet t\u00eb bjer\u00eb deri n\u00eb vitin 2024 n\u00eb 64,6 p\u00ebr qind. N\u00eb vitin 2021 ai ishte 68,7 p\u00ebrqind, parashikojn\u00eb ekonomist\u00ebt\u00a0nga Kieli.DW<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/AA192695-1FEE-4C1F-A6C5-8AB3DE26D973-300x216.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"216\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-18573\" srcset=\"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/AA192695-1FEE-4C1F-A6C5-8AB3DE26D973-300x216.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/AA192695-1FEE-4C1F-A6C5-8AB3DE26D973-1024x737.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/AA192695-1FEE-4C1F-A6C5-8AB3DE26D973-768x553.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/AA192695-1FEE-4C1F-A6C5-8AB3DE26D973-860x619.jpeg 860w, https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/AA192695-1FEE-4C1F-A6C5-8AB3DE26D973.jpeg 1068w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CA213506-361F-4B2B-92CE-576FF34D40B6-300x239.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"239\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-18574\" srcset=\"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CA213506-361F-4B2B-92CE-576FF34D40B6-300x239.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CA213506-361F-4B2B-92CE-576FF34D40B6-1024x817.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CA213506-361F-4B2B-92CE-576FF34D40B6-768x613.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CA213506-361F-4B2B-92CE-576FF34D40B6-860x686.jpeg 860w, https:\/\/neutrale.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CA213506-361F-4B2B-92CE-576FF34D40B6.jpeg 1073w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Studiuesit parashikojn\u00eb p\u00ebr 2023 tkurrje t\u00eb PBB dhe deri n\u00eb 9,7 p\u00ebrqind inflacion. M\u00eb 1 tetor, n\u00eb Gjermani do t\u00eb rritet paga minimale n\u00eb 12 euro\/ora. Ekspert\u00ebt thon\u00eb se kjo do ta rris\u00eb edhe m\u00eb tej inflacionin. Sipas Instituti i\u00a0Hulumtimeve Ekonomike n\u00eb Mynih (ifo),\u00a0rritja e s\u00ebrishme e pag\u00ebs minimale n\u00eb Gjermani m\u00eb 1 tetor me [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18575,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[27],"class_list":{"0":"post-18572","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bota","8":"tag-lajme"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18572","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18572"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18572\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18576,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18572\/revisions\/18576"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18575"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18572"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18572"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neutrale.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18572"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}